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#61
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Livingston Mayor of London says Bush is 'greatest threat to life on planet'
Olivers writes
The DA of santa barbara County is elected by the voters of the county and has no/zero/nill connection with the California Governor's office. You mean they don't all belong to the same Masonic lodge? -- Simon Elliott http://www.ctsn.co.uk/ |
#62
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Livingston Mayor of London says Bush is 'greatest threat to life on planet'
Simon Elliott muttered....
I wasn't there, and I don't know for sure. I'm intrigued enough by this to have emailed the Met to ask how they count crowds of people. If the answer appears on their FAQ page, I'll post the URL. From long experience with police crowd estimates..... ....But granting that the Met may not be subject to some/all of the political common to US law enforcement agencies. Neither success nor lack of success at "crowd management" has much to do with police crowd estimates, only that the numbers be estimated to be large enough to justify the allocation of resources and to support claims for more money and (wo)manpower in the emergency appropriation/next budget cycle. Police are no more objective than reporters, in fact, likely to be less objective since they have aa vested interest in the outcome. Would you accept a sort of a general (but modest) conclusion which seems to have semerged in "main line" US television networks (Fox on the far right, CNN's international service about as left as US media perspectives get - which may not be far) that the 'crowds" of demonstrators fell far short of "advertised" projections, and that even the largest of the demos (over the crowd size of which we may debate) was hardly the grand finale projected. Aside.... Last night's TV news was citing a _Guardian_ poll in which support for some facet of the Iran/Bush/US business had climbed to 66% in the UK. A _Guardian_ poll? |
#63
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Livingston Mayor of London says Bush is 'greatest threat to life on planet'
Simon Elliott muttered....
Olivers writes The DA of santa barbara County is elected by the voters of the county and has no/zero/nill connection with the California Governor's office. You mean they don't all belong to the same Masonic lodge? I doubt Arnold's a Mason, being from Austria and having a spouse who is a member of what maybe the US's most prominent RCatholic family. Besides, Masons don't have near the clout they used to, even in Southern states (and declining numbers pretty much everywhere). TMO |
#64
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Livingston Mayor of London says Bush is 'greatest threat to life on planet'
Olivers writes
Olivers writes The DA of santa barbara County is elected by the voters of the county and has no/zero/nill connection with the California Governor's office. You mean they don't all belong to the same Masonic lodge? I doubt Arnold's a Mason, being from Austria and having a spouse who is a member of what maybe the US's most prominent RCatholic family. If we're talking about conspiracy theories, masons and the Roman Catholic church, we almost _have_ to mention the persistent allegations re P2, the Vatican bank and the assassination of Pope John Paul I. Besides, Masons don't have near the clout they used to, even in Southern states (and declining numbers pretty much everywhere). I'm afraid I was being facetious. I wasn't aware that freemasonry was ever prevalent in the US, but no discussion of conspiracy is complete without a mention of the masons. If I was going to advance a conspiracy theory on the arrest of Michael Jackson, I'd suggest that the DA did it to earn brownie points with somebody. But I'm too clueless on the nuances and details of political life in the US to have any opinion on this. It could be a lot like the various theories that Dr. David Kelly was liquidated by a UK government agency: these all seem a bit less credible from close up. But we do love our conspiracy theories. This week there's a program on a UK TV channel on the subject of the assassination of JFK. If puts forward the controversial theory that (shock, horror) there was no conspiracy; it was all the work of Lee Harvey Oswald. -- Simon Elliott http://www.ctsn.co.uk/ |
#66
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Livingston Mayor of London says Bush is 'greatest threat to life on planet'
Olivers writes
From long experience with police crowd estimates..... ...But granting that the Met may not be subject to some/all of the political common to US law enforcement agencies. Neither success nor lack of success at "crowd management" has much to do with police crowd estimates, only that the numbers be estimated to be large enough to justify the allocation of resources and to support claims for more money and (wo)manpower in the emergency appropriation/next budget cycle. Police are no more objective than reporters, in fact, likely to be less objective since they have aa vested interest in the outcome. Would you accept a sort of a general (but modest) conclusion which seems to have semerged in "main line" US television networks (Fox on the far right, CNN's international service about as left as US media perspectives get - which may not be far) that the 'crowds" of demonstrators fell far short of "advertised" projections, and that even the largest of the demos (over the crowd size of which we may debate) was hardly the grand finale projected. I'll wait till I have some more information before I comment on this. Aside.... Last night's TV news was citing a _Guardian_ poll in which support for some facet of the Iran/Bush/US business had climbed to 66% in the UK. A _Guardian_ poll? http://politics.guardian.co.uk/iraq/...087545,00.html The bit I find most interesting is: "The ICM poll also uncovers a surge in pro-war sentiment in the past two months as suicide bombers have stepped up their attacks on western targets and troops in Iraq. Opposition to the war has slumped by 12 points since September to only 41% of all voters. At the same time those who believe the war was justified has jumped 9 points to 47% of voters." Is a similar shift happening in the US? -- Simon Elliott http://www.ctsn.co.uk/ |
#67
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Livingston Mayor of London says Bush is 'greatest threat to life on planet'
Simon Elliott muttered....
Is a similar shift happening in the US? Mildly and minimally, with a few point swing in the polls, although continuing US casualties seem to be an obstacle to much greater "mood switch". meanwhile, US polls, which show Bush in a dead heat with an unmamed Democrat candidate, however, show him soundly thumping any named candidate from the current entries (plus Madame DeFarge/Clinton). As an old Marketing Man (from the age when polls and marketing were considered divinely inspired avenues to corporate success), let me assure you that "objective" and "poll" or "survey" should never be used in the same sentence. Even the altering of word order in poll question can dramatically change the results, and every survey inevitably reflects the perspective of the instigator or preparers. I simply don't place much reliance on poll results unless I've had a chance to see the questions and determine how they were asked. TMO |
#68
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Livingston Mayor of London says Bush is 'greatest threat to life on planet'
Olivers writes
As an old Marketing Man (from the age when polls and marketing were considered divinely inspired avenues to corporate success), let me assure you that "objective" and "poll" or "survey" should never be used in the same sentence. Even the altering of word order in poll question can dramatically change the results, and every survey inevitably reflects the perspective of the instigator or preparers. I simply don't place much reliance on poll results unless I've had a chance to see the questions and determine how they were asked. From the BBC series "Yes Prime Minister" Sir Humphrey: "You know what happens: nice young lady comes up to you. Obviously you want to create a good impression, you don't want to look a fool, do you? So she starts asking you some questions: Mr. Woolley, are you worried about the number of young people without jobs?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Are you worried about the rise in crime among teenagers?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Do you think there is a lack of discipline in our Comprehensive schools?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Do you think young people welcome some authority and leadership in their lives?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Do you think they respond to a challenge?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Would you be in favour of reintroducing National Service?" Bernard Woolley: "Oh...well, I suppose I might be." Sir Humphrey: "Yes or no?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Of course you would, Bernard. After all you told you can't say no to that. So they don't mention the first five questions and they publish the last one." Bernard Woolley: "Is that really what they do?" Sir Humphrey: "Well, not the reputable ones no, but there aren't many of those. So alternatively the young lady can get the opposite result." Bernard Woolley: "How?" Sir Humphrey: "Mr. Woolley, are you worried about the danger of war?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Are you worried about the growth of armaments?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Do you think there is a danger in giving young people guns and teaching them how to kill?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Do you think it is wrong to force people to take up arms against their will?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "Would you oppose the reintroduction of National Service?" Bernard Woolley: "Yes" Sir Humphrey: "There you are, you see Bernard. The perfect balanced sample." -- Simon Elliott http://www.ctsn.co.uk/ |
#69
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Livingston Mayor of London says Bush is 'greatest threat to life on planet'
Simon Elliott muttered....
snip-ped, but not because of the lack of significance of the content. Well writ (or remembered), Sir. |
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