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#1
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Boeing downgraded
Read an article about some Wall Street Casino analysts downgrading Boeing due
to the large number of orders that are either being cancelled or delayed. http://www.marke****ch.com/news/yhoo...2A376A85C57%7D As of Sept. 30, Boeing's unfilled commercial airplane orders stood at 1,083, of which 182 planes were slated for delivery to U.S. carriers, CSFB said. American has commitments to buy 47 Boeing 737-800s and nine Boeing 777-200ERs from 2006 through 2010, according to AMR's latest Securities and Exchange Commission filing. The airline currently operates 77 Boeing 737-800s. American has recently announced it was negotiating with Boeing for further delivery delays, and other legacy carriers have indicated they would do the same to adapt to higher oil proce. Interesting that Boeing's order book only depends on the USA for 16% of orders, and that is bound to go down as US airlines continue to delay/cancel deliveries. And while the current devaluation of the USD may help Boeing for exports, it won't help for domestic sales of 777 or 7E7 since much of those planes is built overseas. And since US airlines are no longer buying any planes, this is hurting Airbus equally, subsidies or not. What remains to be seen is whether Airbus will contend that Boeing will get unfair "subsidy" if the US government is forced to allow the US dollar to devalue much further. While the european and japanese governments will probably intervene to support the USD, I am not sure that their intervention would have long lasting effect since there is an endemic problem of cash outflow from the USA and the only way to stop that is to devalue the USD to a point where americans won't be able to afford imports, and american exports will become as cheap as chinese ones to foreigners. |
#2
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"nobody" wrote in message ... What remains to be seen is whether Airbus will contend that Boeing will get unfair "subsidy" if the US government is forced to allow the US dollar to devalue much further. I've said it before and I'll say it again, JF. As long as the French government pays for the development and initial production of Airbus planes, Boeing should get the same deal. That's a simple solution to the quandry over the illegal subsidies Airbus receives. |
#3
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"nobody" wrote in message ... What remains to be seen is whether Airbus will contend that Boeing will get unfair "subsidy" if the US government is forced to allow the US dollar to devalue much further. I've said it before and I'll say it again, JF. As long as the French government pays for the development and initial production of Airbus planes, Boeing should get the same deal. That's a simple solution to the quandry over the illegal subsidies Airbus receives. |
#4
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"Ted Ng" wrote in message ... "nobody" wrote in message ... What remains to be seen is whether Airbus will contend that Boeing will get unfair "subsidy" if the US government is forced to allow the US dollar to devalue much further. I've said it before and I'll say it again, JF. As long as the French government pays for the development and initial production of Airbus planes, Boeing should get the same deal. That's a simple solution to the quandry over the illegal subsidies Airbus receives. Both side accuse the other of giving subsidies, not just benefits from currency fluctuations, and I suspect they are both right. See http://www.guardian.co.uk/airlines/s...323657,00.html and http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/s...096805,00.html for example. A Google on this topic will give reading material for a lifetime. Boeing has also been accused of getting hidden subsidies via generous military contracts. They have been playing this game for years. The subsidies seem to be roughly equal on both sides which I imagine suits Boeing and Airbus very nicely, and probably keeps a few lawyers well fed too. Of course if you are in the US you will probably see more compaints about Airbus, in Europe I suppose more complaints against Boeing are reported. |
#5
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"RAK" wrote in message
news:1099674525.EnW6BALb09hzEBImFWOCOw@teranews... "Ted Ng" wrote in message ... "nobody" wrote in message ... What remains to be seen is whether Airbus will contend that Boeing will get unfair "subsidy" if the US government is forced to allow the US dollar to devalue much further. I've said it before and I'll say it again, JF. As long as the French government pays for the development and initial production of Airbus planes, Boeing should get the same deal. That's a simple solution to the quandry over the illegal subsidies Airbus receives. Both side accuse the other of giving subsidies, not just benefits from currency fluctuations, and I suspect they are both right. See http://www.guardian.co.uk/airlines/s...323657,00.html and http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/s...096805,00.html for example. Al Guardian? A Google on this topic will give reading material for a lifetime. Boeing has also been accused of getting hidden subsidies via generous military contracts. Of course, Airbus also gets hidden subsidies via fat military and aerospace contracts at EADS. They have been playing this game for years. The subsidies seem to be roughly equal on both sides which I imagine suits No one knows what Airbus is receiving, other than their BofD. Talk about what Airbus is really getting is speculation. All we know for sure is the European governments shilled out billions that Airbus won't have to pay back. Boeing and Airbus very nicely, and probably keeps a few lawyers well fed too. Of course if you are in the US you will probably see more compaints about Airbus, in Europe I suppose more complaints against Boeing are reported. Airbus receives billions, upfront, to design, build and manufacture planes. They receive "refundable" (their term) loans at below-market interest rates, which is really a way of saying Airbus won't have to pay back the money. My proposal is for the US government to simply match the offer Airbus gets. Ask the state of Washington to drop the tax benefits, which only kick in AFTER Boeing has already spent the billions on the riskiest stage of the aircraft development cycle. The US Treasury would then cut a check for $2 billion or so when Boeing gets an idea for a plane. This eliminates the fuss and bother of going through negotations and trials at the WTO. It eliminates any hard feelings. It simply puts Boeing back on a level playing field with Airbus. Boeing would take this deal in a heartbeat. It's free cash, courtesy of the taxpayer. Just like Airbus. |
#6
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"RAK" wrote in message
news:1099674525.EnW6BALb09hzEBImFWOCOw@teranews... "Ted Ng" wrote in message ... "nobody" wrote in message ... What remains to be seen is whether Airbus will contend that Boeing will get unfair "subsidy" if the US government is forced to allow the US dollar to devalue much further. I've said it before and I'll say it again, JF. As long as the French government pays for the development and initial production of Airbus planes, Boeing should get the same deal. That's a simple solution to the quandry over the illegal subsidies Airbus receives. Both side accuse the other of giving subsidies, not just benefits from currency fluctuations, and I suspect they are both right. See http://www.guardian.co.uk/airlines/s...323657,00.html and http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/s...096805,00.html for example. Al Guardian? A Google on this topic will give reading material for a lifetime. Boeing has also been accused of getting hidden subsidies via generous military contracts. Of course, Airbus also gets hidden subsidies via fat military and aerospace contracts at EADS. They have been playing this game for years. The subsidies seem to be roughly equal on both sides which I imagine suits No one knows what Airbus is receiving, other than their BofD. Talk about what Airbus is really getting is speculation. All we know for sure is the European governments shilled out billions that Airbus won't have to pay back. Boeing and Airbus very nicely, and probably keeps a few lawyers well fed too. Of course if you are in the US you will probably see more compaints about Airbus, in Europe I suppose more complaints against Boeing are reported. Airbus receives billions, upfront, to design, build and manufacture planes. They receive "refundable" (their term) loans at below-market interest rates, which is really a way of saying Airbus won't have to pay back the money. My proposal is for the US government to simply match the offer Airbus gets. Ask the state of Washington to drop the tax benefits, which only kick in AFTER Boeing has already spent the billions on the riskiest stage of the aircraft development cycle. The US Treasury would then cut a check for $2 billion or so when Boeing gets an idea for a plane. This eliminates the fuss and bother of going through negotations and trials at the WTO. It eliminates any hard feelings. It simply puts Boeing back on a level playing field with Airbus. Boeing would take this deal in a heartbeat. It's free cash, courtesy of the taxpayer. Just like Airbus. |
#7
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Ted Ng wrote:
Of course, Airbus also gets hidden subsidies via fat military and aerospace contracts at EADS. EADS's militarty business is still very small. No one knows what Airbus is receiving, other than their BofD. EADS is a publicly traded company. You can get their financial statements at www.eads.com Airbus receives billions, upfront, to design, build and manufacture planes. If a bank gives Boeing a lower rate due to its sheer size and the amount of business it generates compared to the rates and servoices it gives to small businesses, does this constitute a subsidy in your mind ? If you are intent on twisting everything Airbus does as a subsidy and twisting everything Boeing does as captitalist unsubsidized business, then you shoulf just stay in your USA cocoon and stop participating in worldwide discussion forums. Get yourself some us.travel.air with a charter dictating that non americans are not invited. |
#8
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Ted Ng wrote:
Of course, Airbus also gets hidden subsidies via fat military and aerospace contracts at EADS. EADS's militarty business is still very small. No one knows what Airbus is receiving, other than their BofD. EADS is a publicly traded company. You can get their financial statements at www.eads.com Airbus receives billions, upfront, to design, build and manufacture planes. If a bank gives Boeing a lower rate due to its sheer size and the amount of business it generates compared to the rates and servoices it gives to small businesses, does this constitute a subsidy in your mind ? If you are intent on twisting everything Airbus does as a subsidy and twisting everything Boeing does as captitalist unsubsidized business, then you shoulf just stay in your USA cocoon and stop participating in worldwide discussion forums. Get yourself some us.travel.air with a charter dictating that non americans are not invited. |
#9
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Ted Ng wrote:
Airbus receives billions, upfront, to design, build and manufacture planes. snip My proposal is for the US government to simply match the offer Airbus gets. It's a little more complicated than that. The US and the EU signed an agreement in 1992 to limit the amount of funding that both aircraft manufacturers get. Under the agreement, the EU was allowed to provide the development financing you mention above. The US agreed to that arrangement because US manufacturers were getting an equivalent amount from other sources, such as sweetheart financing through USAID, and various tax breaks and direct subsidies from state and federal governments. As I recall, the subsidies the US manufacturers get are limited to 4% of the sale price of the aircraft. The US has now decided it doesn't like the terms it previously agreed to, and has unilaterally canceled the agreement. Ask the state of Washington to drop the tax benefits, which only kick in AFTER Boeing has already spent the billions on the riskiest stage of the aircraft development cycle. Many of the Washington state subsidies would be illegal under the 1992 US/EU agreement. Further, since they are production subsidies, they are illegal under other WTO fair trade practices. The WTO has previously ruled against such subsidies in other market areas. The US Treasury would then cut a check for $2 billion or so when Boeing gets an idea for a plane. This eliminates the fuss and bother of going through negotations and trials at the WTO. It eliminates any hard feelings. It simply puts Boeing back on a level playing field with Airbus. Not really, since Boeing gets benefits from other areas, such as USAID financing, tax breaks from various levels of government, direct subsidies, such as when they moved the headquarters to Illinois, and as proposed by the state of Washington, to support the startup of 7E7 manufacturing. There is also the contentious research benefits that Boeing gets from various government agencies. Not to mention that Boeing was caught hiding income from foreign sales in offshore banks to avoid taxes. The issue is complicated, since there are various ideas of how the government should support such industries. While the 1992 agreement has probably outlived its usefulness, the US is by no means pure in how it has supported Boeing. The two government agencies really need to work out a new deal to avoid ongoing trade skirmishes. |
#10
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Ted Ng wrote:
Airbus receives billions, upfront, to design, build and manufacture planes. snip My proposal is for the US government to simply match the offer Airbus gets. It's a little more complicated than that. The US and the EU signed an agreement in 1992 to limit the amount of funding that both aircraft manufacturers get. Under the agreement, the EU was allowed to provide the development financing you mention above. The US agreed to that arrangement because US manufacturers were getting an equivalent amount from other sources, such as sweetheart financing through USAID, and various tax breaks and direct subsidies from state and federal governments. As I recall, the subsidies the US manufacturers get are limited to 4% of the sale price of the aircraft. The US has now decided it doesn't like the terms it previously agreed to, and has unilaterally canceled the agreement. Ask the state of Washington to drop the tax benefits, which only kick in AFTER Boeing has already spent the billions on the riskiest stage of the aircraft development cycle. Many of the Washington state subsidies would be illegal under the 1992 US/EU agreement. Further, since they are production subsidies, they are illegal under other WTO fair trade practices. The WTO has previously ruled against such subsidies in other market areas. The US Treasury would then cut a check for $2 billion or so when Boeing gets an idea for a plane. This eliminates the fuss and bother of going through negotations and trials at the WTO. It eliminates any hard feelings. It simply puts Boeing back on a level playing field with Airbus. Not really, since Boeing gets benefits from other areas, such as USAID financing, tax breaks from various levels of government, direct subsidies, such as when they moved the headquarters to Illinois, and as proposed by the state of Washington, to support the startup of 7E7 manufacturing. There is also the contentious research benefits that Boeing gets from various government agencies. Not to mention that Boeing was caught hiding income from foreign sales in offshore banks to avoid taxes. The issue is complicated, since there are various ideas of how the government should support such industries. While the 1992 agreement has probably outlived its usefulness, the US is by no means pure in how it has supported Boeing. The two government agencies really need to work out a new deal to avoid ongoing trade skirmishes. |
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