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$100 USD per Oil Barrel Scenario
Perhaps: Nationalization of oil companies assets in U.S. is a scenario
if this should happen, and there may well be WW II coupon-cards, black markets, and cheatings ad hellum. Oh yeah, well I hope we don't have to findout, but what is your scenario? Meanwhile, folks, as I've posted here previously: There is an explicit incentivized car-pool means to adopt/adapt at least until other changes are eventually made. This is the Breitbart $100 USD a barrel scenario: http://www.breitbart.com/news/2006/0....5jqhfzft.html This is how to temporarily solve the gosh-damned situation: 'If You Hate It, Why is This Concept Dumb?' A solution to our public-transportation woes By Randall Osborne Sick of traffic jams on the ozone-shrouded freeway into Atlanta? Tired of the backed-up clog on Pike Street heading through Lawrenceville? Robert Cohen has an idea. I like it. Cohen's partial solution to traffic woes is "obvious (at least to me)," he writes in a memo to county planners. But it hasn't been obvious to everyone else. Cohen, of Lawrenceville, is getting the word out. "Encouragement of reproduction in whole or part," he adds, fragmentally, to the two-page document. "Not copyrighted." His plan has a few hitches. Cohen admits that much, right off the bat. For example, to make it work, insurance companies would have to "reconfigure" the way they write liability policies. What's more, Atlanta and Fulton County -- which have monopolized the taxi and limo market -- would have to ease up a bit, and ... You're probably starting to figure it out. Anyway, once we bring the insurance companies in line and bust up the sweet deal held in place by chauffers in Fulton County, we can move on to Cohen's plan. Summed up, in his words, it's this: "Fare-payin' passengers." Old-timers will recall a bumper sticker along these lines, favored by ruffian hippies. The sticker bore a little rhyme that dealt with an anatomy part and with hemp, using slang vernacular for each and concluding that "nobody rides for free." In Cohen's world, few people would. "We need to reconceptualize," he writes. In the memo, Cohen reconceptualizes like all get out. "A major problem with facilitating the private vehicles carrying of paying passengers also has to do with crime potential," he writes. "One solution might be that potential paying passengers could carry picture ID (cards) and these ID (cards) could be scanned or checked via the vehicles' cellular telephones. Such a screening process would seemingly be of some expense, but it is a technological possibility to utilize." Under Cohen's plan, the driver would not be obliged to take anybody with a valid card. "There would be no requirement that a vehicle would carry just anybody who is unknown to the driver," he writes, which is a relief. "In the typical situations where the drivers and passengers are co-workers and/or neighbors (thus known to each other), then no screening is needed anyway." No, but you could still charge them. That's the beauty of the plan. The car-pool moocher would be a phenomenon of the past. Nobody rides for free. Exact amounts owed could be calculated. "Electronic taxi meters themselves should now hopefully be cheaper because of efficiencies in electronics. Best Buy, et. al., might sell and install the things. Or the vehicles' odometers could be utilized along with (the) wris****ch, and a simple formula formulated." Cohen's memo is more than practical advice. He throws in a few opinions, too. "The perimeter highway in DeKalb County is becoming increasingly clogged," he declares. "I currently favor an outer perimeter, possibly as a toll road." Mostly, though, Cohen wants to guide officials through the process of clearing up the roads. "The concept is to encourage more semi-public/semi-private taxis, so that not as many cars are needed. The incentive system could help to solve the transportation problem -- if institutions and laws could appropriately be reconfigured." Ah, there's the rub. Cohen includes a series of questions in which he rails at conditions that he knows are bad. Very bad. "Is our society too crime-prone for this?" he asks, apparently in reference to the prospect of bogus ID cards. "Does the automotive industry want to sell less vehicles?" He seems to know the answer. "Isn't Gwinnett doomed to gridlock, no matter what? If you hate it, why is this concept dumb? Please critique." I'm no traffic planner, so I'm hardly qualified to critique. Plus, the memo wasn't addressed to me. I only got a copy. But, in the manner of a non-skeptic and optimist, I like Cohen's solutions. They suggest an earlier time of free enterprise, the pioneering spirit, rugged individualism and clean air -- not to mention ruffian hippies, who (unlike everyone else) were not altogether serious. It was a time when (unlike today) people didn't really mean it when they said: "Nobody rides for free." | Gwinnett Loaf Home | Copyright 1997 by Creative Loafing | Published Feb. 15, 1997 | |
#2
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$100 USD per Oil Barrel Scenario
Robert Cohen wrote:
Perhaps: Nationalization of oil companies assets in U.S. is a scenario if this should happen, and there may well be WW II coupon-cards, black markets, and cheatings ad hellum. Why would rationing be needed? There isn't a shortage. |
#3
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$100 USD per Oil Barrel Scenario
"mrtravel" wrote ... Robert Cohen wrote: Perhaps: Nationalization of oil companies assets in U.S. is a scenario if this should happen, and there may well be WW II coupon-cards, black markets, and cheatings ad hellum. Why would rationing be needed? There isn't a shortage. ....and unlike wartime with major military and industrial demands to prioritize, there's a point to which prices rise at which demand begins to fall (even when dealing with this sort of commodity). Natural gas prices have already dropped well below their peaks, both in spot and futures markets. .....and when "West Texas Benchmark Sweet Crude" of which there's none in West Texas reaches $100, you can rest assured that alot of producers with $50 "sour" (High sulphur) crude will ramp up production (as its price also creeps up a bit). Robert's shared rides are a good idea, just as jitney cabs dominate a major portion of the NYC market, but in real terms hardly amont to a molehill beside the Mount Everest of overall consumption. Of course we could charge more for airline tickets, and not let flights depart until every seat was full....:-P TMO |
#4
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$100 USD per Oil Barrel Scenario
nationalization
why "nationalize" if no "shortage?" a very fair point Perhaps the words "prioritize" and "regimentizations" may help explain. Trucks will need to deliver food & goods to Walmart. Cars going to the beach for the weekend--nope. Therefore, $100 a barrel oil COULD BE AN HELLE ON EARTH OF GOVT REGULATION, the opposite of what our political-economy has been about through "market forces." Of course this is merely my scenario. I'd ****en nuke & refine the tar sands in Wyoming (or Alberta), or sumthin first. I have feared the worst case scenario(s) since at least 1973, and it hgas always puzzled me why others seem so oblivious the the obvious. TOliver wrote: "mrtravel" wrote ... Robert Cohen wrote: Perhaps: Nationalization of oil companies assets in U.S. is a scenario if this should happen, and there may well be WW II coupon-cards, black markets, and cheatings ad hellum. Why would rationing be needed? There isn't a shortage. ...and unlike wartime with major military and industrial demands to prioritize, there's a point to which prices rise at which demand begins to fall (even when dealing with this sort of commodity). Natural gas prices have already dropped well below their peaks, both in spot and futures markets. ....and when "West Texas Benchmark Sweet Crude" of which there's none in West Texas reaches $100, you can rest assured that alot of producers with $50 "sour" (High sulphur) crude will ramp up production (as its price also creeps up a bit). Robert's shared rides are a good idea, just as jitney cabs dominate a major portion of the NYC market, but in real terms hardly amont to a molehill beside the Mount Everest of overall consumption. Of course we could charge more for airline tickets, and not let flights depart until every seat was full....:-P TMO |
#5
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$100 USD per Oil Barrel Scenario
On 7 Jun 2006 04:47:25 -0700, "Robert Cohen"
wrote: nationalization why "nationalize" if no "shortage?" a very fair point Perhaps the words "prioritize" and "regimentizations" may help explain. Trucks will need to deliver food & goods to Walmart. Cars going to the beach for the weekend--nope. Therefore, $100 a barrel oil COULD BE AN HELLE ON EARTH OF GOVT REGULATION, the opposite of what our political-economy has been about through "market forces." Of course this is merely my scenario. I'd ****en nuke & refine the tar sands in Wyoming (or Alberta), or sumthin first. I have feared the worst case scenario(s) since at least 1973, and it hgas always puzzled me why others seem so oblivious the the obvious. snipped Geez, Cohen, can't you learn to write a coherent message? Are you sitting there in a drunken stupor just typing any words that come into your mind? Every hear of paragraphs? |
#6
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$100 USD per Oil Barrel Scenario
Robert Cohen wrote:
nationalization why "nationalize" if no "shortage?" a very fair point Perhaps the words "prioritize" and "regimentizations" may help explain. Trucks will need to deliver food & goods to Walmart. Cars going to the beach for the weekend--nope. Therefore, $100 a barrel oil COULD BE AN HELLE ON EARTH OF GOVT REGULATION, the opposite of what our political-economy has been about through "market forces." You are talking about a 35 percent increase in the price of oil. It's not going to be a national emergency. We will adjust our usage habits, perhaps, but it's not an emergency. After all, that price will still be less what many Europeans pay. |
#8
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$100 USD per Oil Barrel Scenario
At some point, $100, $105, $125, the financial equilibrium of the World
as we have known it shall probably collapse. Market forces--such as they are--do indeed temporarily rationalize oil consumption; BUT our culture is also seemingly almost entirely dependent upon cheap petroleum. Here is that Marx-Engels theory/observation/doomsday concept, I suppose. Exploitation inevitably goes too far... for all parties concerned. We've now had since 1973 to think & prepare for plans B, C, D ... .. The terrific $5 & $10 & $17 & $20 a barrel oil stiffled & corrupted our tunnel vision. It has never so fooled me, because commodities do inevitably dissipate & prices do responde/fluctuate accordingly. This oil phenomenon has been a question of when. Oil investors patiently awaited the inevitable price rise. Gore's fear/warning is being proven, and rightwingish dumb radio & other bumper sticker thinkings are being empirically debunked. mrtravel wrote: Robert Cohen wrote: nationalization why "nationalize" if no "shortage?" a very fair point Perhaps the words "prioritize" and "regimentizations" may help explain. Trucks will need to deliver food & goods to Walmart. Cars going to the beach for the weekend--nope. Therefore, $100 a barrel oil COULD BE AN HELLE ON EARTH OF GOVT REGULATION, the opposite of what our political-economy has been about through "market forces." You are talking about a 35 percent increase in the price of oil. It's not going to be a national emergency. We will adjust our usage habits, perhaps, but it's not an emergency. After all, that price will still be less what many Europeans pay. |
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