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Carnival Earnings Rise Sharply!



 
 
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  #1  
Old March 22nd, 2004, 02:39 PM
Ray Goldenberg
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default Carnival Earnings Rise Sharply!

Hi Everyone,

I received this press release from the Carnival Corporation and
thought it would be of interest. If you have missed any of my news'
postings, they are available on my web site.

Best regards,
Ray
LIGHTHOUSE TRAVEL
800-719-9917 or 805-566-3905
http://www.lighthousetravel.com


Carnival Corporation & plc Reports First Quarter Earnings

MIAMI, March 22
Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE: CCL; LSE) (NYSE: CUK) reported net
income of $203 million, or $0.25 diluted EPS, on revenues of $2.0
billion for its first quarter ended February 29, 2004 compared to pro
forma net income of $147 million, or $0.18 diluted EPS, on pro forma
revenues of $1.6 billion for the same quarter in 2003. Reported
diluted earnings per share for the first quarter of 2003 were $0.22.
Both the pro forma and reported 2003 earnings per share included a
$0.02 nonrecurring gain from insurance settlements.
Carnival Corporation and P&O Princess entered into a dual listed
company ("DLC") structure on April 17, 2003, which effectively made
Carnival Corporation and P&O Princess a single economic entity
("Carnival Corporation & plc" or the "company"). Also on that date,
P&O Princess changed its name to Carnival plc. For reporting purposes,
Carnival Corporation has accounted for the DLC transaction as an
acquisition of Carnival plc as of April 17, 2003.

Reported revenues for the first quarter of 2004 increased by $945
million compared to the first quarter of 2003 primarily due to the
inclusion of $749 million of Carnival plc revenues, a 16.8 percent
increase in Carnival Corporation standalone capacity and higher
revenue yields (revenue per available lower berth day). Reported
operating costs and selling, general and administrative expenses
increased by $735 million compared to the first quarter of 2003.
Approximately $590 million of the increase was due to the inclusion of
Carnival plc costs, and the remainder was primarily due to increased
capacity.

The company's reported results for the first quarter of 2003 do not
include the results of Carnival plc. Consequently, the company
believes that the most meaningful comparison of financial results and
revenue and cost metrics is to the comparable 2003 pro forma results
and metrics which reflect the operations of both Carnival Corporation
and Carnival plc's 2003 first quarter as if the companies had been
consolidated for that period. The company has also presented these
metrics on a gross and as reported basis.

Pro Forma Comparisons
Net revenue yields for the first quarter of 2004 increased
4.1
percent compared to pro forma net revenue yields in the prior
year,
largely due to the weak U.S. dollar relative to the euro and
sterling. Net revenue yields as measured on a local currency
basis
("constant dollar basis") were in line with the same period
last
year. Gross revenue yields increased 4.7 percent.
Net cruise costs per available lower berth day ("ALBD") for
the first
quarter of 2004 were 0.7 percent less than pro forma costs
for the
same period last year. This decrease was achieved despite
the impact
of the weak dollar, which has the effect of significantly
increasing
cruise costs per ALBD. On a constant dollar basis, net
cruise costs
per ALBD declined 5.1 percent from the same period last year,
partially due to the timing of advertising and other
expenditures
which are expected to be incurred later in the year. Gross
cruise
costs per ALBD increased 1.4 percent compared to the prior
year.

Reported Comparisons
Net revenue yields increased 4.9 percent (10.3 percent gross)
for the
first quarter of 2004 compared to the same quarter of 2003
primarily
due to the weaker U.S. dollar and, to a lesser extent, higher
net
revenue yields for the Carnival plc brands. Net cruise costs
per
ALBD increased 3.7 percent (11.2 percent gross) compared to
the first
quarter of 2003 primarily because of the impact of the weak
U.S.
dollar and higher operating costs of the Carnival plc brands.
Both
gross revenue yields and gross cruise costs per ALBD
increased more
than the comparable "net" metrics because of the higher
proportion of
Carnival plc customers who purchased air transportation from
the
company.


During the first quarter of 2004, the company completed the
high-profile introduction of Cunard Line's 150,000-ton Queen Mary 2,
the largest passenger vessel ever constructed. Commented Carnival
Corporation & plc Chairman and CEO Micky Arison, "The Queen Mary 2
received unprecedented worldwide media attention during its
introduction this past January and the company expects the media
coverage to continue when the ship arrives in New York on April 22.
The response to the ship from travel agents and guests has been truly
remarkable."

The company also launched Carnival Cruise Lines' new 2,124-passenger
Carnival Miracle at the end of February from Jacksonville, Fla.,
marking the first time the line has ever operated from that homeport.
In addition, Princess Cruises' 2,674-passenger Diamond Princess was
delivered in late February, and entered service in March with a series
of Mexican cruises from Los Angeles to be followed by an Alaskan
summer program beginning in May. Finally, last week the
3,114-passenger Caribbean Princess was delivered and will enter
service next month with year-round Caribbean voyages from Ft.
Lauderdale.

Comments on First Quarter Results and Outlook for Remainder of 2004

"We are delighted with the stronger than expected first quarter
results," Arison said. "With the stabilization of revenue yields
during this year's wave season and the cost synergies achieved from
our merger with P&O Princess, we were able to realize a significant
improvement in 2004 first quarter profitability," he added.

Looking forward, Arison indicated that the robust wave season thus far
makes him very optimistic that 2004 financial results should continue
to show year over year improvement. From the time of the company's
last update on February 24, 2004, booking levels have remained strong
for the company's North American and European brands. He noted that
the company's strategy to offer larger initial early booking discounts
for 2004 sailings appears to be successful, resulting in considerably
higher booking levels this year compared to last year and a
lengthening of the booking curve.

"Clearly, the strong wave season has been stimulated by the attractive
pricing in the marketplace. As this booking activity continues, prices
will increase. Vacationers should take advantage of these low rates
now as prices are going up," Arison said.

During the last 11 weeks, company wide booking levels for the
remainder of the year have been running 62 percent higher than the
same period last year, relative to a 17.8 percent pro forma capacity
increase, with pricing (on a constant dollar basis) for bookings taken
during this period running above last year's levels.

The company expects that net revenue yields for the second quarter of
2004 will increase approximately 10 to 12 percent (7 to 9 percent on a
constant dollar basis), compared to last year's pro forma second
quarter, which was the period most significantly impacted by the Iraq
war. Net cruise costs per ALBD in the second quarter of 2004 are
expected to increase approximately 1 to 3 percent (flat to down 2
percent on a constant dollar basis), compared to pro forma 2003. Based
on these estimates, the company expects earnings per share for the
second quarter of 2004 to be in the range of $0.34 to $0.36.

For the last nine months of 2004, the company presently expects net
revenue yields to increase in the range of 6 to 8 percent (3 to 5
percent on a constant dollar basis), compared to pro forma 2003. Net
cruise costs per ALBD for the remainder of 2004 are expected to be
flat to up 2 percent (down 1 to 3 percent on a constant dollar basis),
compared to pro forma 2003. Based on these estimates, and including
better than expected first quarter results, and assuming no major
geopolitical events adversely impacting its business, the company
expects full year 2004 earnings to be in the range of $2.05 to $2.15
per share, versus its previous guidance of $2.02 per share. The
company's current guidance is based on an exchange rate of $1.23 to
the euro and $1.81 to the sterling.

Arison also pointed out that the cruise industry's recovery comes at a
time when Carnival's newbuilding program is at its peak. "Next month
marks a year since the completion of our historic transaction with the
former P&O Princess and the combination of the two newbuilding
programs produces seven new ships this year. Those deliveries are
across our strongest performing brands and occur during a year where
it now appears that we are well-positioned to absorb this additional
capacity," Arison said. In addition to the four ships already
delivered this year, Holland America Line's 1,848- passenger Westerdam
and Princess Cruises' 2,674-passenger Sapphire Princess are expected
to be delivered in April and May 2004, respectively. The company also
expects the delivery of Costa Cruises' 2,702-passenger Costa Magica in
November 2004.

The company has scheduled a conference call with analysts at 10 a.m.
EST (15.00 London time) today to discuss its 2004 first quarter
earnings. This call can be listened to live, and additional
information can be obtained, via Carnival Corporation & plc's Web
sites at www.carnivalcorp.com and www.carnivalplc.com.

Carnival Corporation & plc is the largest cruise vacation group in the
world, with a portfolio of 12 cruise brands in North America, Europe
and Australia, comprised of Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America
Line, Princess Cruises, Seabourn Cruise Line, Windstar Cruises, AIDA,
Costa Cruises, Cunard Line, Ocean Village, P&O Cruises, Swan Hellenic,
and P&O Cruises Australia. Together, these brands operate 75 ships
totaling more than 123,000 lower berths with nine new ships scheduled
for delivery between April 2004 and mid-2006. Carnival Corporation &
plc also operates the leading tour companies in Alaska and the
Canadian Yukon, Holland America Tours and Princess Tours. Traded on
both the New York and London Stock Exchanges, Carnival Corporation &
plc is the only group in the world to be included in both the S&P 500
and the FTSE 100 indices.

Cautionary note concerning factors that may affect future results

Some of the statements contained in this earnings release are
"forward-looking statements" that involve risks, uncertainties and
assumptions with respect to Carnival Corporation & plc, including some
statements concerning future results, plans, outlook, goals and other
events which have not yet occurred. You can find many, but not all, of
these statements by looking for words like "will," "may," "believes,"
"expects," "anticipates," "forecast," "future," "intends," "plans,"
and "estimates" and for similar expressions. Because forward-looking
statements, including those which may impact the forecasting of
earnings per share, net revenue yields, booking levels, pricing,
occupancy, operating, financing and tax costs, costs per available
lower berth day, estimates of ship depreciable lives and residual
values, outlook or business prospects, involve risks and
uncertainties, there are many factors that could cause Carnival
Corporation & plc's actual results, performance or achievements to
differ materially from those expressed or implied in this earnings
release. These factors include, but are not limited to, the following:
achievement of expected benefits from the DLC transaction; risks
associated with the DLC structure; risks associated with the
uncertainty of the tax status of the DLC structure; general economic
and business conditions, which may impact levels of disposable income
of consumers and the net revenue yields for cruise brands of Carnival
Corporation & plc; conditions in the cruise and land-based vacation
industries, including competition from other cruise ship operators and
providers of other vacation alternatives and increases in capacity
offered by cruise ship and land-based vacation alternatives; the
impact of operating internationally; the international political and
economic climate, armed conflicts, terrorist attacks, availability of
air service and other world events and adverse publicity and their
impact on the demand for cruises; accidents and other incidents
affecting the health, safety, security and vacation satisfaction of
passengers; the ability of Carnival Corporation & plc to implement its
shipbuilding programs and brand strategies and to continue to expand
its business worldwide; the ability of Carnival Corporation & plc to
attract and retain qualified shipboard crew and maintain good
relations with employee unions; the ability to obtain financing on
terms that are favorable or consistent with Carnival Corporation &
plc's expectations; the impact of changes in operating and financing
costs, including changes in foreign currency and interest rates and
fuel, food, insurance and security costs; changes in the tax,
environmental, health, safety, security and other regulatory regimes
under which Carnival Corporation & plc operates; continued
availability of attractive port destinations; the ability to
successfully implement cost improvement plans and to integrate
business acquisitions; continuing financial viability of Carnival
Corporation & plc's travel agent distribution system; weather patterns
or natural disasters; and the ability of a small group of shareholders
to effectively control the outcome of shareholder voting.

Forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as a prediction
of actual results. Subject to any continuing obligations under
applicable law or any relevant listing rules, Carnival Corporation &
plc expressly disclaims any obligation to disseminate, after the date
of this release, any updates or revisions to any such forward-looking
statements to reflect any change in expectations or events, conditions
or circumstances on which any such statements are based.

CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

Three Months Ended February 29/28,
----------------------------------

Reported 2004 (1) Pro Forma 2003 (2) Reported
2003 (1)(3)
-------------- --------------
--------------
(in millions, except per share data)
Revenues
Cruise
Passenger
tickets $1,527 $1,263 $800
Onboard
and other 445 352 232
Other 8 7 3
------ ------ ------
1,980 1,622 1,035
------ ------ ------
Costs and
Expenses
Operating
Cruise
Passenger
tickets 384 312 174
Onboard and
other 81 62 28
Payroll and
related 236 192 130
Food 127 105 69
Other ship
operating 378 335 212
Other 10 10 7
------ ------ ------
Total 1,216 1,016 620
Selling and
administrative 316 283 177
Depreciation
and
amortization 188 151 106
------ ------ ------
1,720 1,450 903
------ ------ ------
Operating Income 260 172 132
------ ------ ------

Nonoperating
(Expense)
Income
Interest income 4 5 4
Interest expense,
net of
capitalized
interest (65) (53) (29)
Other income,
net 18 (4) 15
(4)
------ ------ ------
(61) (30) (10)
------ ------ ------
Income Before
Income Taxes 199 142 122

Income Tax
Benefit, Net 4 5 5
------ ------ ------
Net Income $203 $147 $127
====== ====== ======

Earnings Per
Share
Basic $0.25 $0.18 $0.22
====== ====== ======
Diluted $0.25 $0.18 $0.22
====== ====== ======

Dividends Per
Share $0.125 $0.105 $0.105
====== ====== ======

Weighted-Average
Shares
Outstanding
- Basic 800 795 587
====== ====== ======
Weighted-Average
Shares
Outstanding
- Diluted 820 799 588
====== ====== ======

(1) The reported results for 2004 included Carnival Corporation
and
Carnival plc and 2003 reported results only included Carnival
Corporation.

(2) See note (a) to the Carnival Corporation & plc "Reported and
Pro
Forma GAAP Reconciling Information."

(3) Reclassifications have been made to certain 2003 amounts to
conform to
the current period presentation.

(4) Included $19 million from net insurance proceeds, less certain
other
nonoperating expenses.


CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
SELECTED STATISTICAL AND SEGMENT INFORMATION

Three Months Ended February 29/28,
---------------------------------
Reported 2004 (1) Pro Forma 2003 (2) Reported 2003
(1)(3)
--------------- --------------
--------------
(in millions, except statistical
information)

STATISTICAL
INFORMATION
Passengers
carried 1,361,586 1,206,430 922,783
Available
lower berth
days 10,062,655 8,618,229 5,804,759
Occupancy
percentage 102.0% 100.4% 102.8%

SEGMENT
INFORMATION
Revenues
Cruise $1,972 $1,615 $1,032
Other 10 9 5
Intersegment
elimination (2) (2) (2)
---------- ---------- ----------
$1,980 $1,622 $1,035
========== ========== ==========
Operating
expenses
Cruise $1,206 $1,006 $613
Other 12 12 9
Intersegment
elimination (2) (2) (2)
---------- ---------- ----------
$1,216 $1,016 $620
========== ========== ==========

Selling and
administrative
expenses
Cruise $302 $269 $170
Other 14 14 7
---------- ---------- ----------
$316 $283 $177
========== ========== ==========

Operating
income
(loss)
Cruise $281 $192 $143
Other (21) (20) (11)
---------- ---------- ----------
$260 $172 $132
========== ========== ==========

(1) The reported information for 2004 included Carnival
Corporation and
Carnival plc and 2003 reported results only included Carnival
Corporation.

(2) See note (a) to the Carnival Corporation & plc "Reported and
Pro Forma
GAAP Reconciling Information."

(3) Reclassifications have been made to certain 2003 amounts to
conform to
the current period presentation.


CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
REPORTED AND PRO FORMA GAAP RECONCILING INFORMATION

Gross and net revenue yields were computed as follows:

Three Months Ended February 29/28,
----------------------------------
Reported 2004 Pro Forma 2003 (a)
Reported 2003
-------------- ----------------
-------------
(in millions, except ALBDs and yields)

Cruise revenues
Passenger tickets $1,527 $1,263
$800
Onboard and other 445 352
232
---------- ----------
----------
Gross cruise revenues 1,972 1,615
1,032
Less cruise costs
Passenger tickets (384) (312)
(174)
Onboard and other (81) (62)
(28)
---------- ----------
----------
Net cruise revenues $1,507 $1,241
$830
========== ==========
==========
ALBDs (b) 10,062,655 8,618,229
5,804,759
========== ==========
==========

Gross revenue yields
(c) (g) $196.04 $187.31
$177.67
========== ==========
==========
Net revenue yields
(d) (g) $149.86 $143.94
$142.85
========== ==========
==========


Gross and net cruise costs per ALBD were computed as follows:

Three Months Ended February 29/28,
---------------------------------
Reported 2004 Pro Forma 2003(a)
Reported 2003
-------------- ---------------
--------------
(in millions, except ALBDs and costs per
ALBD)

Cruise operating
expenses $1,206 $1,006
$613
Cruise selling and
administrative
expenses 302 269
170
----------- -----------
-----------
Gross cruise costs 1,508 1,275
783
Less cruise costs
included in net
cruise revenues
Passenger tickets (384) (312)
(174)
Onboard and other (81) (62)
(28)
----------- -----------
-----------
Net cruise costs $1,043 $901
$581
=========== ===========
===========

ALBDs (b) 10,062,655 8,618,229
5,804,759
=========== ===========
===========

Gross cruise costs
per ALBD (e) (g) $149.93 $147.87
$134.85
=========== ===========
===========

Net cruise costs
per ALBD (f) (g) $103.75 $104.50
$100.03
=========== ===========
===========


NOTES TO HISTORICAL AND PRO FORMA GAAP RECONCILING INFORMATION

(a) The pro forma information gives pro forma effect to the DLC
transaction between Carnival Corporation and Carnival plc,
which was
completed on April 17, 2003, as if the DLC transaction had
occurred on
December 1, 2002. Management has prepared the pro forma
information
based upon the companies' reported financial information and,
accordingly, the above information should be read in
conjunction with
the companies' financial statements, as well as pro forma
information
included in the companies' joint Current Report on Form 8-K
filed on
March 5, 2004.

The DLC transaction has been accounted for as an acquisition
of
Carnival plc by Carnival Corporation, using the purchase
method of
accounting. The Carnival plc accounting policies have been
conformed
to Carnival Corporation's policies. Carnival plc's reporting
period
has been changed to the Carnival Corporation reporting period
and the
pro forma information covers the same periods of time for both
companies.

The pro forma information has not been adjusted to reflect any
net
transaction benefits from the DLC transaction. In addition,
it
excludes $24 million of costs related to the completion of the
DLC
transaction with Carnival Corporation, which were expensed by
Carnival
plc prior to April 17, 2003. The exclusion of these
nonrecurring
costs is consistent with the requirements of Article 11 of
Regulation
S-X. The 2003 pro forma information is computed by adding
Carnival
plc's 2003 results, adjusted for acquisition adjustments
(reductions
of $4 million of depreciation expense and $2 million of
interest
expense), to the 2003 Carnival Corporation reported results.
Finally,
the pro forma information does not purport to represent what
the
results of operations actually could have been if the DLC
transaction
had occurred on December 1, 2002 or what those results will be
for any
future periods.

(b) Total passenger capacity for the period, assuming two
passengers per
cabin, that we offer for sale, which is computed by
multiplying
passenger capacity by revenue-producing ship operating days in
the
period.

(c) Gross cruise revenues, without rounding, divided by ALBDs.

(d) Net cruise revenues, without rounding, divided by ALBDs.

(e) Gross cruise costs, without rounding, divided by ALBDs.

(f) Net cruise costs, without rounding, divided by ALBDs.

(g) In the cruise industry, most companies, including Carnival
Corporation
& plc, generally consider net cruise revenues, which is used
in the
computation of net revenue yields, to be a better indicator of
revenue
performance than gross cruise revenues, and net cruise costs,
which is
used in the computation of net cruise costs per ALBD, to be a
better
indicator of cost controls than gross cruise costs.

We have not provided estimates of future gross revenue yields
or
future gross cruise costs per ALBD because the reconciliations
of
forecasted net cruise revenues to forecasted gross cruise
revenues or
forecasted net cruise costs to forecasted cruise operating
expenses
would require us to forecast, with reasonable accuracy, the
amount of
air and other transportation costs that our forecasted cruise
passengers would elect to purchase from us (the "air/sea
mix"). Since
the forecasting of future air/sea mix involves several
significant
variables and the revenues from the sale of air and other
transportation approximate the costs of providing that
transportation,
management focuses primarily on forecasts of net cruise
revenues and
costs rather than gross cruise revenues and costs. This does
not
impact, in any material respect, our ability to forecast our
future
results, as any variation in the air/sea mix has no material
impact on
our forecasted net cruise revenues or forecasted net cruise
costs.
As such, management does not believe that this reconciling
information
would be meaningful.




  #2  
Old March 23rd, 2004, 01:07 AM
Dick Goldhaber
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default Carnival Earnings Rise Sharply!

Ray,

I listened to the conference call this morning and learned that Mickey
Arison is off babysitting for and bonding with Westerdam which joins the
service on April 25th.

It is a shame that a really good earnings report coincided with a really bad
market day.
--
DG in Cherry Hill, NJ


"Ray Goldenberg" wrote in message
...
Hi Everyone,

I received this press release from the Carnival Corporation and
thought it would be of interest. If you have missed any of my news'
postings, they are available on my web site.

Best regards,
Ray
LIGHTHOUSE TRAVEL
800-719-9917 or 805-566-3905
http://www.lighthousetravel.com


Carnival Corporation & plc Reports First Quarter Earnings

MIAMI, March 22
Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE: CCL; LSE) (NYSE: CUK) reported net
income of $203 million, or $0.25 diluted EPS, on revenues of $2.0
billion for its first quarter ended February 29, 2004 compared to pro
forma net income of $147 million, or $0.18 diluted EPS, on pro forma
revenues of $1.6 billion for the same quarter in 2003. Reported
diluted earnings per share for the first quarter of 2003 were $0.22.
Both the pro forma and reported 2003 earnings per share included a
$0.02 nonrecurring gain from insurance settlements.
Carnival Corporation and P&O Princess entered into a dual listed
company ("DLC") structure on April 17, 2003, which effectively made
Carnival Corporation and P&O Princess a single economic entity
("Carnival Corporation & plc" or the "company"). Also on that date,
P&O Princess changed its name to Carnival plc. For reporting purposes,
Carnival Corporation has accounted for the DLC transaction as an
acquisition of Carnival plc as of April 17, 2003.

Reported revenues for the first quarter of 2004 increased by $945
million compared to the first quarter of 2003 primarily due to the
inclusion of $749 million of Carnival plc revenues, a 16.8 percent
increase in Carnival Corporation standalone capacity and higher
revenue yields (revenue per available lower berth day). Reported
operating costs and selling, general and administrative expenses
increased by $735 million compared to the first quarter of 2003.
Approximately $590 million of the increase was due to the inclusion of
Carnival plc costs, and the remainder was primarily due to increased
capacity.

The company's reported results for the first quarter of 2003 do not
include the results of Carnival plc. Consequently, the company
believes that the most meaningful comparison of financial results and
revenue and cost metrics is to the comparable 2003 pro forma results
and metrics which reflect the operations of both Carnival Corporation
and Carnival plc's 2003 first quarter as if the companies had been
consolidated for that period. The company has also presented these
metrics on a gross and as reported basis.

Pro Forma Comparisons
Net revenue yields for the first quarter of 2004 increased
4.1
percent compared to pro forma net revenue yields in the prior
year,
largely due to the weak U.S. dollar relative to the euro and
sterling. Net revenue yields as measured on a local currency
basis
("constant dollar basis") were in line with the same period
last
year. Gross revenue yields increased 4.7 percent.
Net cruise costs per available lower berth day ("ALBD") for
the first
quarter of 2004 were 0.7 percent less than pro forma costs
for the
same period last year. This decrease was achieved despite
the impact
of the weak dollar, which has the effect of significantly
increasing
cruise costs per ALBD. On a constant dollar basis, net
cruise costs
per ALBD declined 5.1 percent from the same period last year,
partially due to the timing of advertising and other
expenditures
which are expected to be incurred later in the year. Gross
cruise
costs per ALBD increased 1.4 percent compared to the prior
year.

Reported Comparisons
Net revenue yields increased 4.9 percent (10.3 percent gross)
for the
first quarter of 2004 compared to the same quarter of 2003
primarily
due to the weaker U.S. dollar and, to a lesser extent, higher
net
revenue yields for the Carnival plc brands. Net cruise costs
per
ALBD increased 3.7 percent (11.2 percent gross) compared to
the first
quarter of 2003 primarily because of the impact of the weak
U.S.
dollar and higher operating costs of the Carnival plc brands.
Both
gross revenue yields and gross cruise costs per ALBD
increased more
than the comparable "net" metrics because of the higher
proportion of
Carnival plc customers who purchased air transportation from
the
company.


During the first quarter of 2004, the company completed the
high-profile introduction of Cunard Line's 150,000-ton Queen Mary 2,
the largest passenger vessel ever constructed. Commented Carnival
Corporation & plc Chairman and CEO Micky Arison, "The Queen Mary 2
received unprecedented worldwide media attention during its
introduction this past January and the company expects the media
coverage to continue when the ship arrives in New York on April 22.
The response to the ship from travel agents and guests has been truly
remarkable."

The company also launched Carnival Cruise Lines' new 2,124-passenger
Carnival Miracle at the end of February from Jacksonville, Fla.,
marking the first time the line has ever operated from that homeport.
In addition, Princess Cruises' 2,674-passenger Diamond Princess was
delivered in late February, and entered service in March with a series
of Mexican cruises from Los Angeles to be followed by an Alaskan
summer program beginning in May. Finally, last week the
3,114-passenger Caribbean Princess was delivered and will enter
service next month with year-round Caribbean voyages from Ft.
Lauderdale.

Comments on First Quarter Results and Outlook for Remainder of 2004

"We are delighted with the stronger than expected first quarter
results," Arison said. "With the stabilization of revenue yields
during this year's wave season and the cost synergies achieved from
our merger with P&O Princess, we were able to realize a significant
improvement in 2004 first quarter profitability," he added.

Looking forward, Arison indicated that the robust wave season thus far
makes him very optimistic that 2004 financial results should continue
to show year over year improvement. From the time of the company's
last update on February 24, 2004, booking levels have remained strong
for the company's North American and European brands. He noted that
the company's strategy to offer larger initial early booking discounts
for 2004 sailings appears to be successful, resulting in considerably
higher booking levels this year compared to last year and a
lengthening of the booking curve.

"Clearly, the strong wave season has been stimulated by the attractive
pricing in the marketplace. As this booking activity continues, prices
will increase. Vacationers should take advantage of these low rates
now as prices are going up," Arison said.

During the last 11 weeks, company wide booking levels for the
remainder of the year have been running 62 percent higher than the
same period last year, relative to a 17.8 percent pro forma capacity
increase, with pricing (on a constant dollar basis) for bookings taken
during this period running above last year's levels.

The company expects that net revenue yields for the second quarter of
2004 will increase approximately 10 to 12 percent (7 to 9 percent on a
constant dollar basis), compared to last year's pro forma second
quarter, which was the period most significantly impacted by the Iraq
war. Net cruise costs per ALBD in the second quarter of 2004 are
expected to increase approximately 1 to 3 percent (flat to down 2
percent on a constant dollar basis), compared to pro forma 2003. Based
on these estimates, the company expects earnings per share for the
second quarter of 2004 to be in the range of $0.34 to $0.36.

For the last nine months of 2004, the company presently expects net
revenue yields to increase in the range of 6 to 8 percent (3 to 5
percent on a constant dollar basis), compared to pro forma 2003. Net
cruise costs per ALBD for the remainder of 2004 are expected to be
flat to up 2 percent (down 1 to 3 percent on a constant dollar basis),
compared to pro forma 2003. Based on these estimates, and including
better than expected first quarter results, and assuming no major
geopolitical events adversely impacting its business, the company
expects full year 2004 earnings to be in the range of $2.05 to $2.15
per share, versus its previous guidance of $2.02 per share. The
company's current guidance is based on an exchange rate of $1.23 to
the euro and $1.81 to the sterling.

Arison also pointed out that the cruise industry's recovery comes at a
time when Carnival's newbuilding program is at its peak. "Next month
marks a year since the completion of our historic transaction with the
former P&O Princess and the combination of the two newbuilding
programs produces seven new ships this year. Those deliveries are
across our strongest performing brands and occur during a year where
it now appears that we are well-positioned to absorb this additional
capacity," Arison said. In addition to the four ships already
delivered this year, Holland America Line's 1,848- passenger Westerdam
and Princess Cruises' 2,674-passenger Sapphire Princess are expected
to be delivered in April and May 2004, respectively. The company also
expects the delivery of Costa Cruises' 2,702-passenger Costa Magica in
November 2004.

The company has scheduled a conference call with analysts at 10 a.m.
EST (15.00 London time) today to discuss its 2004 first quarter
earnings. This call can be listened to live, and additional
information can be obtained, via Carnival Corporation & plc's Web
sites at www.carnivalcorp.com and www.carnivalplc.com.

Carnival Corporation & plc is the largest cruise vacation group in the
world, with a portfolio of 12 cruise brands in North America, Europe
and Australia, comprised of Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America
Line, Princess Cruises, Seabourn Cruise Line, Windstar Cruises, AIDA,
Costa Cruises, Cunard Line, Ocean Village, P&O Cruises, Swan Hellenic,
and P&O Cruises Australia. Together, these brands operate 75 ships
totaling more than 123,000 lower berths with nine new ships scheduled
for delivery between April 2004 and mid-2006. Carnival Corporation &
plc also operates the leading tour companies in Alaska and the
Canadian Yukon, Holland America Tours and Princess Tours. Traded on
both the New York and London Stock Exchanges, Carnival Corporation &
plc is the only group in the world to be included in both the S&P 500
and the FTSE 100 indices.

Cautionary note concerning factors that may affect future results

Some of the statements contained in this earnings release are
"forward-looking statements" that involve risks, uncertainties and
assumptions with respect to Carnival Corporation & plc, including some
statements concerning future results, plans, outlook, goals and other
events which have not yet occurred. You can find many, but not all, of
these statements by looking for words like "will," "may," "believes,"
"expects," "anticipates," "forecast," "future," "intends," "plans,"
and "estimates" and for similar expressions. Because forward-looking
statements, including those which may impact the forecasting of
earnings per share, net revenue yields, booking levels, pricing,
occupancy, operating, financing and tax costs, costs per available
lower berth day, estimates of ship depreciable lives and residual
values, outlook or business prospects, involve risks and
uncertainties, there are many factors that could cause Carnival
Corporation & plc's actual results, performance or achievements to
differ materially from those expressed or implied in this earnings
release. These factors include, but are not limited to, the following:
achievement of expected benefits from the DLC transaction; risks
associated with the DLC structure; risks associated with the
uncertainty of the tax status of the DLC structure; general economic
and business conditions, which may impact levels of disposable income
of consumers and the net revenue yields for cruise brands of Carnival
Corporation & plc; conditions in the cruise and land-based vacation
industries, including competition from other cruise ship operators and
providers of other vacation alternatives and increases in capacity
offered by cruise ship and land-based vacation alternatives; the
impact of operating internationally; the international political and
economic climate, armed conflicts, terrorist attacks, availability of
air service and other world events and adverse publicity and their
impact on the demand for cruises; accidents and other incidents
affecting the health, safety, security and vacation satisfaction of
passengers; the ability of Carnival Corporation & plc to implement its
shipbuilding programs and brand strategies and to continue to expand
its business worldwide; the ability of Carnival Corporation & plc to
attract and retain qualified shipboard crew and maintain good
relations with employee unions; the ability to obtain financing on
terms that are favorable or consistent with Carnival Corporation &
plc's expectations; the impact of changes in operating and financing
costs, including changes in foreign currency and interest rates and
fuel, food, insurance and security costs; changes in the tax,
environmental, health, safety, security and other regulatory regimes
under which Carnival Corporation & plc operates; continued
availability of attractive port destinations; the ability to
successfully implement cost improvement plans and to integrate
business acquisitions; continuing financial viability of Carnival
Corporation & plc's travel agent distribution system; weather patterns
or natural disasters; and the ability of a small group of shareholders
to effectively control the outcome of shareholder voting.

Forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as a prediction
of actual results. Subject to any continuing obligations under
applicable law or any relevant listing rules, Carnival Corporation &
plc expressly disclaims any obligation to disseminate, after the date
of this release, any updates or revisions to any such forward-looking
statements to reflect any change in expectations or events, conditions
or circumstances on which any such statements are based.

CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

Three Months Ended February 29/28,
----------------------------------

Reported 2004 (1) Pro Forma 2003 (2) Reported
2003 (1)(3)
-------------- --------------
--------------
(in millions, except per share data)
Revenues
Cruise
Passenger
tickets $1,527 $1,263 $800
Onboard
and other 445 352 232
Other 8 7 3
------ ------ ------
1,980 1,622 1,035
------ ------ ------
Costs and
Expenses
Operating
Cruise
Passenger
tickets 384 312 174
Onboard and
other 81 62 28
Payroll and
related 236 192 130
Food 127 105 69
Other ship
operating 378 335 212
Other 10 10 7
------ ------ ------
Total 1,216 1,016 620
Selling and
administrative 316 283 177
Depreciation
and
amortization 188 151 106
------ ------ ------
1,720 1,450 903
------ ------ ------
Operating Income 260 172 132
------ ------ ------

Nonoperating
(Expense)
Income
Interest income 4 5 4
Interest expense,
net of
capitalized
interest (65) (53) (29)
Other income,
net 18 (4) 15
(4)
------ ------ ------
(61) (30) (10)
------ ------ ------
Income Before
Income Taxes 199 142 122

Income Tax
Benefit, Net 4 5 5
------ ------ ------
Net Income $203 $147 $127
====== ====== ======

Earnings Per
Share
Basic $0.25 $0.18 $0.22
====== ====== ======
Diluted $0.25 $0.18 $0.22
====== ====== ======

Dividends Per
Share $0.125 $0.105 $0.105
====== ====== ======

Weighted-Average
Shares
Outstanding
- Basic 800 795 587
====== ====== ======
Weighted-Average
Shares
Outstanding
- Diluted 820 799 588
====== ====== ======

(1) The reported results for 2004 included Carnival Corporation
and
Carnival plc and 2003 reported results only included Carnival
Corporation.

(2) See note (a) to the Carnival Corporation & plc "Reported and
Pro
Forma GAAP Reconciling Information."

(3) Reclassifications have been made to certain 2003 amounts to
conform to
the current period presentation.

(4) Included $19 million from net insurance proceeds, less certain
other
nonoperating expenses.


CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
SELECTED STATISTICAL AND SEGMENT INFORMATION

Three Months Ended February 29/28,
---------------------------------
Reported 2004 (1) Pro Forma 2003 (2) Reported 2003
(1)(3)
--------------- --------------
--------------
(in millions, except statistical
information)

STATISTICAL
INFORMATION
Passengers
carried 1,361,586 1,206,430 922,783
Available
lower berth
days 10,062,655 8,618,229 5,804,759
Occupancy
percentage 102.0% 100.4% 102.8%

SEGMENT
INFORMATION
Revenues
Cruise $1,972 $1,615 $1,032
Other 10 9 5
Intersegment
elimination (2) (2) (2)
---------- ---------- ----------
$1,980 $1,622 $1,035
========== ========== ==========
Operating
expenses
Cruise $1,206 $1,006 $613
Other 12 12 9
Intersegment
elimination (2) (2) (2)
---------- ---------- ----------
$1,216 $1,016 $620
========== ========== ==========

Selling and
administrative
expenses
Cruise $302 $269 $170
Other 14 14 7
---------- ---------- ----------
$316 $283 $177
========== ========== ==========

Operating
income
(loss)
Cruise $281 $192 $143
Other (21) (20) (11)
---------- ---------- ----------
$260 $172 $132
========== ========== ==========

(1) The reported information for 2004 included Carnival
Corporation and
Carnival plc and 2003 reported results only included Carnival
Corporation.

(2) See note (a) to the Carnival Corporation & plc "Reported and
Pro Forma
GAAP Reconciling Information."

(3) Reclassifications have been made to certain 2003 amounts to
conform to
the current period presentation.


CARNIVAL CORPORATION & PLC
REPORTED AND PRO FORMA GAAP RECONCILING INFORMATION

Gross and net revenue yields were computed as follows:

Three Months Ended February 29/28,
----------------------------------
Reported 2004 Pro Forma 2003 (a)
Reported 2003
-------------- ----------------
-------------
(in millions, except ALBDs and yields)

Cruise revenues
Passenger tickets $1,527 $1,263
$800
Onboard and other 445 352
232
---------- ----------
----------
Gross cruise revenues 1,972 1,615
1,032
Less cruise costs
Passenger tickets (384) (312)
(174)
Onboard and other (81) (62)
(28)
---------- ----------
----------
Net cruise revenues $1,507 $1,241
$830
========== ==========
==========
ALBDs (b) 10,062,655 8,618,229
5,804,759
========== ==========
==========

Gross revenue yields
(c) (g) $196.04 $187.31
$177.67
========== ==========
==========
Net revenue yields
(d) (g) $149.86 $143.94
$142.85
========== ==========
==========


Gross and net cruise costs per ALBD were computed as follows:

Three Months Ended February 29/28,
---------------------------------
Reported 2004 Pro Forma 2003(a)
Reported 2003
-------------- ---------------
--------------
(in millions, except ALBDs and costs per
ALBD)

Cruise operating
expenses $1,206 $1,006
$613
Cruise selling and
administrative
expenses 302 269
170
----------- -----------
-----------
Gross cruise costs 1,508 1,275
783
Less cruise costs
included in net
cruise revenues
Passenger tickets (384) (312)
(174)
Onboard and other (81) (62)
(28)
----------- -----------
-----------
Net cruise costs $1,043 $901
$581
=========== ===========
===========

ALBDs (b) 10,062,655 8,618,229
5,804,759
=========== ===========
===========

Gross cruise costs
per ALBD (e) (g) $149.93 $147.87
$134.85
=========== ===========
===========

Net cruise costs
per ALBD (f) (g) $103.75 $104.50
$100.03
=========== ===========
===========


NOTES TO HISTORICAL AND PRO FORMA GAAP RECONCILING INFORMATION

(a) The pro forma information gives pro forma effect to the DLC
transaction between Carnival Corporation and Carnival plc,
which was
completed on April 17, 2003, as if the DLC transaction had
occurred on
December 1, 2002. Management has prepared the pro forma
information
based upon the companies' reported financial information and,
accordingly, the above information should be read in
conjunction with
the companies' financial statements, as well as pro forma
information
included in the companies' joint Current Report on Form 8-K
filed on
March 5, 2004.

The DLC transaction has been accounted for as an acquisition
of
Carnival plc by Carnival Corporation, using the purchase
method of
accounting. The Carnival plc accounting policies have been
conformed
to Carnival Corporation's policies. Carnival plc's reporting
period
has been changed to the Carnival Corporation reporting period
and the
pro forma information covers the same periods of time for both
companies.

The pro forma information has not been adjusted to reflect any
net
transaction benefits from the DLC transaction. In addition,
it
excludes $24 million of costs related to the completion of the
DLC
transaction with Carnival Corporation, which were expensed by
Carnival
plc prior to April 17, 2003. The exclusion of these
nonrecurring
costs is consistent with the requirements of Article 11 of
Regulation
S-X. The 2003 pro forma information is computed by adding
Carnival
plc's 2003 results, adjusted for acquisition adjustments
(reductions
of $4 million of depreciation expense and $2 million of
interest
expense), to the 2003 Carnival Corporation reported results.
Finally,
the pro forma information does not purport to represent what
the
results of operations actually could have been if the DLC
transaction
had occurred on December 1, 2002 or what those results will be
for any
future periods.

(b) Total passenger capacity for the period, assuming two
passengers per
cabin, that we offer for sale, which is computed by
multiplying
passenger capacity by revenue-producing ship operating days in
the
period.

(c) Gross cruise revenues, without rounding, divided by ALBDs.

(d) Net cruise revenues, without rounding, divided by ALBDs.

(e) Gross cruise costs, without rounding, divided by ALBDs.

(f) Net cruise costs, without rounding, divided by ALBDs.

(g) In the cruise industry, most companies, including Carnival
Corporation
& plc, generally consider net cruise revenues, which is used
in the
computation of net revenue yields, to be a better indicator of
revenue
performance than gross cruise revenues, and net cruise costs,
which is
used in the computation of net cruise costs per ALBD, to be a
better
indicator of cost controls than gross cruise costs.

We have not provided estimates of future gross revenue yields
or
future gross cruise costs per ALBD because the reconciliations
of
forecasted net cruise revenues to forecasted gross cruise
revenues or
forecasted net cruise costs to forecasted cruise operating
expenses
would require us to forecast, with reasonable accuracy, the
amount of
air and other transportation costs that our forecasted cruise
passengers would elect to purchase from us (the "air/sea
mix"). Since
the forecasting of future air/sea mix involves several
significant
variables and the revenues from the sale of air and other
transportation approximate the costs of providing that
transportation,
management focuses primarily on forecasts of net cruise
revenues and
costs rather than gross cruise revenues and costs. This does
not
impact, in any material respect, our ability to forecast our
future
results, as any variation in the air/sea mix has no material
impact on
our forecasted net cruise revenues or forecasted net cruise
costs.
As such, management does not believe that this reconciling
information
would be meaningful.






  #3  
Old March 23rd, 2004, 03:56 AM
Cruising Chrissy
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default Carnival Earnings Rise Sharply!

On Mon, 22 Mar 2004 20:07:29 -0500, "Dick Goldhaber"
wrote:

It is a shame that a really good earnings report coincided with a really bad
market day.


No wonder Danni is so protective of you today. If you croak, her
inheritance goes to **** in a handbasket.
 




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